Variational inference with normalizing flows provides a flexible posterior approximation for Bayesian model calibration, but struggles when the posterior has several modes separated by regions of low…
Coverage-evaluation benchmarks quantify whether retrieved evidence covers the different pieces of information needed to satisfy an information need. Existing benchmarks mostly consider factual claims…
Scientific reasoning in specialized engineering fields depends on knowledge scattered across the literature, often proprietary and absent from frontier LLM training data. In such domains, frontier…
Nonlinear structural system identification remains challenging when governing physics is only partially known and measurements are sparse. Deep Bayesian filtering addresses these challenges by…
Complex objects such as engineering designs and proteins are often difficult to optimise because their design spaces exhibit high-dimensional structure and objective evaluations are expensive.…
The Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm (ULA) is widely used for high-dimensional Bayesian inference. Classical analyses in Wasserstein-2 distance predict an asymptotic bias and a mixing time that grow…
The Bayesian learning rule (BLR) exploits the relation between Bayesian updating and the Kullback-Leibler divergence (KLD) to derive efficient additive updates for exponential family variational…
Decision support has become sophisticated at exploring uncertainty, but much less so at representing the architecture of the decision itself. As a result, the decision space is often narrowed before…
We study task assignment under adverse selection and moral hazard. In the single-task setting, agents privately know their types, which determine their success probabilities and effort costs.
Fine-tuning has become a common way to customize text-to-image models, leading to community collections of over 100K lightweight adapters. Adapters sharing a base model can be merged with continuous…
Bayesian networks for continuous variables often rely on restrictive assumptions: linear Gaussian models lack flexibility to capture nonlinear dependencies, while non-parametric approaches provide…
Iterative combinatorial auctions are used in spectrum allocation, transportation, and industrial procurement, but rounds are costly. We introduce FastCombo, a deep reinforcement learning approach to…
Semi-implicit variational inference (SIVI) expands the representational capacity of variational families, but optimizing the Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO) remains challenging because the marginal score…
Typed decision models return a probability distribution over options supplied by the caller, and software tends to act on that number as if it were a guarantee. We measure what it licenses, comparing…
Bayesian variants of Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) provide principled uncertainty estimation when fine-tuning large foundation models, but require specifying the prior over the low-rank weight updates.…
Designing building energy systems is a high-dimensional, mixed-integer search problem: when each design is evaluated by a year-long simulation, black-box optimizers typically need hundreds of…
Recent work in additive manufacturing and neural inverse design enables the creation of complex three-dimensional structures to manipulate physical fields, yet these designs must also adhere to…
We study the Bayesian fixed-confidence best-arm identification problem in which a learner can abstain from making a terminal recommendation. Subject to a target error probability $δ$ and an…
Mobile manipulators must navigate safely in cluttered, partially unknown environments across logistics, manufacturing, and service applications. Semi-static changes between robot visits can lead to…
Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) have recently gained popularity as an end-to-end approach to amortized Bayesian inference. Yet, their statistical behavior for semi-parametric targets, such as means…
Groundwater in Ghana's Densu River Basin remains a key domestic water source, but multi-metal contamination threatens children's health. Previous deterministic hazard index assessments provide…
Standard Bayesian experimental design (BED) methods assume the experimenter alone will act on the data, choosing the best action given their own beliefs and goals. In practice, data are often acted…
Bayesian mixtures, and Solomonoff induction in particular, provide an idealized model of prediction learned by minimizing population log loss, and they underlie universal agents such as AIXI. An…